TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 5:45 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Dukhovenko Oleksandr and Melnyk Valerii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 4 at 3:25PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dukhovenko Oleksandr' if Dukhovenko Oleksandr wins against Melnyk Valerii. This market will resolve to 'Melnyk Valerii' if Melnyk Valerii wins against Dukhovenko Oleksandr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Dukhovenko Oleksandr and Melnyk Valerii in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for October 4 at 3:25PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dukhovenko Oleksandr' if Dukhovenko Oleksandr wins against Melnyk Valerii. This market will resolve to 'Melnyk Valerii' if Melnyk Valerii wins against Dukhovenko Oleksandr. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Comparing prediction market odds to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal interesting insights into public perception versus informed trader opinion. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but are also influenced by betting patterns. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies between the two can indicate where the crowd believes sportsbooks have mispriced the event, or where unique information is being incorporated into the prediction market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in different outcomes. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current implied probabilities are shaped by the volume and direction of trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dukhovenko vs. Melnyk match, as determined by the governing sports organization. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public announcements about the players' physical condition or tactical approaches would also be key catalysts. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or shifts in expert analysis could lead to adjustments in the implied probabilities reflected in this market, as traders react to new information and reassess their predictions.