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Duke vs Virginia: 3rd Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Duke vs Virginia?

Volume:
$36,869

Duke wins by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Duke wins by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 9:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Duke wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,618
N/A
N/A
$9,330
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,489
N/A
N/A
$10,544
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,868
N/A
N/A
$1,334
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,772
N/A
N/A
$1,645
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,770
N/A
N/A
$1,014
Settled
No
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,729
N/A
N/A
$1,602
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,022
N/A
N/A
$984
Settled
No
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$880
N/A
N/A
$880
Settled
No
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$417
N/A
N/A
$417
Settled
No
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$305
N/A
N/A
$305
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential between Duke and Virginia specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must lead at the end of that quarter to settle the outcome.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the point differential between Duke and Virginia exclusively during the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 23, 2026. For any market where the specified point margin is exceeded by the winning team in that quarter, it resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are strictly confined to points scored in the third quarter only, with no consideration of the full-game result. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official third-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the eventual game status.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Duke vs Virginia 3rd quarter spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the third quarter of the game. You can view the historical price action, allowing you to see how the market has moved over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume of $31,824 and the total volume traded to date of $36,869. This provides insight into how actively this market is being traded and the level of interest surrounding the potential outcome.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals predicting the actual outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide valuable insight into where the crowd believes the value lies compared to traditional betting markets.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Duke vs Virginia 3rd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately assess the likelihood of each outcome, leading to a dynamic and informative price discovery process. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the market's assessment of the potential result.

This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the 3rd quarter of the Duke vs Virginia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring an objective and accurate determination of the winning spread. The platform will then process the results and settle all outstanding contracts accordingly, distributing payouts to winning traders.

Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to game time. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Duke or Virginia would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance during the first half of the game, or even pre-game reports on team strategy, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions, if they affect the game, could also play a role. Essentially, any information that alters the perceived probability of a specific point spread has the potential to move this market.