TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 8:30 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various scoring thresholds for the first half of an upcoming college football game between Duke and Virginia. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that participants can bet will be exceeded or not during the initial 30 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Duke vs Virginia college football game scheduled for October 23, 2026. For any market, if the combined score of both teams exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., Over 2.5 points, Over 6.5 points, etc.), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the actual first-half result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially be more influenced by expert opinions, this market can react quickly to signals like injuries or changing team dynamics, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the game's first-half total.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the first-half total will be over or under a certain number. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by the buyers and sellers. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market's collective assessment of the likelihood of the first-half total, and fluctuates based on supply and demand as traders react to news and analysis.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official first-half total points scored in the Duke versus Virginia basketball game will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contracts will pay out. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Duke or Virginia would likely cause movement, as would updates on team strategies or starting lineups. Unexpected weather conditions, although less likely for an indoor basketball game, could also play a role. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching decisions or significant changes in team performance could all influence traders’ assessments and shift the price of contracts in this market.