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Duke vs Virginia: 1st Half Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Duke vs Virginia?

Volume:
$309,016

Virginia wins by over 1.5 points

 - Kalshi

Virginia wins by over 1.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 23, 2026

Closed: Oct 23, 8:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 1.5 points

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$103,231
N/A
N/A
$77,696
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47,023
N/A
N/A
$26,179
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,873
N/A
N/A
$16,618
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 4.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,776
N/A
N/A
$18,273
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,550
N/A
N/A
$19,597
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,927
N/A
N/A
$13,519
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 2.5 points

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,220
N/A
N/A
$10,086
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 4.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,214
N/A
N/A
$9,947
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,119
N/A
N/A
$3,450
Settled
No
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,839
N/A
N/A
$3,633
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,778
N/A
N/A
$3,923
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 9.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,518
N/A
N/A
$2,129
Settled
No
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,982
N/A
N/A
$2,734
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 3.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,869
N/A
N/A
$2,811
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,177
N/A
N/A
$2,916
Settled
No
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,119
N/A
N/A
$1,936
Settled
No
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 13.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,828
N/A
N/A
$1,312
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,112
N/A
N/A
$954
Settled
No
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,074
N/A
N/A
$1,072
Settled
No
kalshi

Virginia wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,007
N/A
N/A
$883
Settled
No
kalshi

Duke wins by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$783
N/A
N/A
$783
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Duke or Virginia in the first half of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team to resolve as 'Yes'.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Duke vs Virginia college football game scheduled for October 23, 2026. For any market, if the specified team wins by more than the stated point margin in the first half, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the actual first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds listed.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Duke vs Virginia spread tracks the current price of contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the game. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $273,073. The total volume traded on this market is $309,016. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the first half spread.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might suggest the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that spread occurring in the first half. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded and those who misjudge the outcome risk losing their investment. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract tied to a specific spread.

This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the first half result of the Duke vs Virginia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official point spread at the end of the first half, as determined by official game statistics. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The final result will be publicly available following the conclusion of the first half.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Duke or Virginia could significantly shift expectations. Changes in team performance leading up to the game, or even weather conditions on game day, could also impact the market. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, as can large trading volume from informed participants on Kalshi. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or coaching strategies could also cause movement.