TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 5:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential between Duke and Georgia Tech specifically within the second quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to different margin thresholds that must be exceeded by either team to settle the outcome.
These markets resolve based on the point difference between Duke and Georgia Tech exclusively during the second quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. For any market, if the specified team wins the second quarter by more than the stated point margin, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets exclusively consider points scored in the second quarter, disregarding any scoring from other quarters. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential thresholds defined in each market.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It's common to see this market incorporate information and signals that haven’t yet fully impacted sportsbook lines, potentially offering a different valuation of the likelihood of various outcomes in the Duke vs Georgia Tech game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Duke will cover the spread. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential result. Currently, the most actively traded outcome is Duke winning the 2nd quarter by over 3.5 points.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the 2nd quarter of the Duke vs Georgia Tech game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will then determine whether Duke won the 2nd quarter by more or less than 3.5 points, settling all outstanding contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Duke or Georgia Tech teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected lineup adjustments could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, real-time performance during the first quarter of the game, or even pre-game reports on team morale and preparation, could all contribute to shifts in the market price. Unexpected weather conditions, if they affect the game, are another potential catalyst.