TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the first quarter of a college football game between Duke and Georgia Tech. It focuses solely on the scoring dynamics of the opening quarter, ignoring the rest of the game's outcome. The result depends on which team has the higher point total when the first quarter ends, or if the scores are equal.
If Georgia Tech wins the 1st quarter of the Duke vs Georgia Tech college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Duke wins the 1st quarter of the Duke vs Georgia Tech college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st quarter of the Duke vs Georgia Tech college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception or team biases, while this market aggregates the views of numerous independent traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders possess information or insights not yet fully priced into the sportsbook lines. However, as the event nears, these odds tend to converge as more information becomes available and both markets react to the latest developments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each team winning the first quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely winner. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding each team’s chances.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the first quarter will be declared the winner, and that result will determine the payout of contracts on Kalshi. It’s important to note that the official game results, as reported by official sources, are the basis for determining the outcome of this market. Any delays or changes to the game schedule may impact the resolution timeline, but the outcome will always be based on the official first-quarter result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineup for either Duke or Georgia Tech would likely cause significant shifts. Unexpected weather conditions, if they impact the game, could also play a role. Furthermore, any major news related to team performance or coaching strategies could sway trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also contribute to price fluctuations, as traders react to the evolving narrative surrounding the game.