TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Duke or Georgia Tech within the first quarter of their scheduled college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team to resolve positively.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first quarter of play in the Duke vs Georgia Tech college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point differential outlined in each individual market—ranging from over 2.5 points to over 10.5 points—for either Duke or Georgia Tech. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official first-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds defined in each market.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the insights of numerous independent traders. However, initial sportsbook lines may differ from those seen here, as sportsbooks aim to attract balanced betting action. It’s common to see convergence between the two as more information becomes available and the event draws nearer, but discrepancies can still exist due to differing motivations and information access.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter of the Duke vs Georgia Tech game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are not. This dynamic creates a market-driven assessment of the likely outcome, constantly adjusting as new information emerges and traders refine their views.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the first quarter spread in the Duke vs Georgia Tech game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official score difference at the end of the first quarter. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the spread, based on the contract they held. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Duke or Georgia Tech teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategy or unexpected lineup adjustments could also shift the perceived probabilities. Even external factors, such as weather conditions, could play a role, especially if they are expected to affect the style of play. As the game approaches, any updates or information that alters the perceived competitive balance will likely cause movement in this market.