TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Ducks vs. Wild
Volume:
$1,508,169
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On April 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, the Anaheim Ducks will face the Minnesota Wild in an NHL regular season game. Markets cover three dimensions: (1) head-to-head winner (Ducks vs. Wild), and (2) combined goal totals across multiple thresholds (O/U 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5). Resolution is based on the final official score including overtime and shootouts, where a shootout win adds one goal to the winning team's total.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use different threshold interpretations for over/under goals markets. Kalshi markets resolve YES if the threshold is exceeded (e.g., over 2.5 means 3+ goals), while Polymarket markets resolve Over if the combined total meets or exceeds a higher threshold (e.g., O/U 4.5 resolves Over at 5+ goals), creating a systematic one-goal offset in comparable markets.Hero Tip:
When comparing Kalshi and Polymarket markets on the same game, note that Polymarket's O/U thresholds are consistently one goal higher in their resolution trigger. For example, Kalshi's 'over 4.5' and Polymarket's 'O/U 4.5' do not resolve identically: Kalshi needs 5+ goals, while Polymarket also needs 5+ goals, but Kalshi's 'over 3.5' (needs 4+) differs from Polymarket's 'O/U 4.5' (needs 5+). Verify the exact threshold wording on each platform before placing bets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi offers eight over/under markets with thresholds at 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, and 9.5 goals. Each market resolves YES if the combined total exceeds the stated threshold (e.g., 'over 4.5' resolves YES at 5+ goals). The platform also includes a head-to-head winner market and does not specify shootout goal-addition rules. Key quote: 'If over 4.5 total combined goals are scored in the Anaheim vs Minnesota professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers five markets: three over/under markets at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 (resolving Over at 5+, 6+, 7+, and 8+ goals respectively), one head-to-head winner market, and two spread markets (-1.5 for each team). Polymarket explicitly states that in a shootout, one goal is added to the winning team's score for resolution purposes. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Ducks and Wild combine to score 5 or more goals in this game' (for O/U 4.5) and 'In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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