TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Ducks vs. Sharks
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 1 at 10:00PM ET: If the Ducks win, the market will resolve to "Ducks". If the Sharks win, the market will resolve to "Sharks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution logic for the same underlying event. Kalshi settles on spread/margin outcomes (win by X goals), while Polymarket settles on total goals (Over/Under), moneyline (winner only), and spread outcomes. Kalshi's four markets are logically contradictory and collectively unresolvable, as they cannot all resolve YES simultaneously.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they contain a logical contradiction that makes simultaneous resolution impossible. If you hold positions on Kalshi, expect potential disputes or 50-50 resolution. Polymarket markets are standard and resolvable; focus trading activity there.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers four markets that all resolve YES if either team wins by any margin over 1.5 goals. Markets 1 and 4 (San Jose wins by >2.5 or >1.5) and Markets 2 and 3 (Anaheim wins by >1.5 or >2.5) create logical overlap and contradiction — all four cannot resolve YES for the same game outcome, and at least two will always resolve YES regardless of final score, making the market group unresolvable. No explicit moneyline, total goals, or cancellation clause provided.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting conventions: Polymarket offers five distinct, resolvable markets: moneyline (Ducks vs. Sharks winner), four Over/Under total-goals markets (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 thresholds), and two spread markets (Sharks -1.5, Ducks -1.5). Each market resolves to exactly one outcome per game result. Cancellation resolves 50-50; postponement keeps market open. Shootout adds one goal to winning team's score. All markets reference the same game and source (NHL.com).
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