TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, October 18, 2026 between DSC Arminia Bielefeld and VfL Osnabrück.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, October 18, 2026 between DSC Arminia Bielefeld and VfL Osnabrück.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a decentralized market compared to a centralized sportsbook. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe in a particular outcome, the higher the price of its shares will rise. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results, driven entirely by user activity and conviction.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Arminia Bielefeld vs. Osnabrück match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the final score and declare the winning shares. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Arminia Bielefeld or Osnabrück could significantly shift the odds. Furthermore, updates on team form, recent match results, and even weather conditions leading up to the match could all impact trader sentiment. Major shifts in public perception, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could also drive changes in the price of shares within this market.