TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 2:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Dresden and Schalke, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Dresden vs Schalke DFB Pokal match scheduled for October 28, 2026. Resolution is based solely on regular time results—90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcome thresholds are considered: Dresden winning by more than 2.5 goals, Dresden winning by more than 1.5 goals, Schalke winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Schalke winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any of these conditions, if met, will resolve the event positively. The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely result of the Dresden vs Schalke match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what percentage of the event's outcome is already 'priced in' by the market, and any new information can cause prices to shift as traders react and adjust their positions.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Dresden vs Schalke match, specifically whether Dresden wins by more than 2.5 goals. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning contract and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact prices. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes could also play a role. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can influence trader behavior and lead to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market before Oct 28, 2026.