TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Draymond Green's Next Team
kalshi

Draymond Green's Next Team

Volume:
$349,128

Stays with Golden State or Retires

 - Kalshi

Stays with Golden State or Retires - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 21, 2026

Closed: Oct 20, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Stays with Golden State or Retires

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$133,827
N/A
N/A
$64,707
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Philadelphia

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,282
N/A
N/A
$42,386
Settled
No
kalshi

Cleveland

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,122
N/A
N/A
$34,550
Settled
No
kalshi

New Orleans

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,767
N/A
N/A
$9,239
Settled
No
kalshi

Detroit

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,814
N/A
N/A
$9,065
Settled
No
kalshi

Miami

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,059
N/A
N/A
$7,570
Settled
No
kalshi

San Antonio

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,429
N/A
N/A
$6,760
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,351
N/A
N/A
$7,164
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles L

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,381
N/A
N/A
$5,524
Settled
No
kalshi

New York

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,661
N/A
N/A
$4,651
Settled
No
kalshi

Charlotte

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,255
N/A
N/A
$4,255
Settled
No
kalshi

Phoenix

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,064
N/A
N/A
$4,064
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlanta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,813
N/A
N/A
$2,813
Settled
No
kalshi

Boston

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,123
N/A
N/A
$2,078
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$833
N/A
N/A
$833
Settled
No
kalshi

Dallas

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$572
N/A
N/A
$572
Settled
No
kalshi

Milwaukee

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$479
N/A
N/A
$474
Settled
No
kalshi

Portland

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$387
N/A
N/A
$300
Settled
No
kalshi

Brooklyn

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$333
N/A
N/A
$333
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles C

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
$318
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$166
N/A
N/A
$166
Settled
No
kalshi

Oklahoma City

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

Orlando

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Toronto

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Indiana

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

Professional basketball player Draymond Green may be traded or sign with a different team before October 21, 2026, or he may remain with his current organization or retire. This event covers all possible outcomes for his next team affiliation.

Kalshi

This event resolves based on Draymond Green's team affiliation before October 21, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific NBA team or the option to remain with Golden State or retire. If Green signs with or is traded to any listed team before the deadline, that team's market resolves to Yes. If he stays with Golden State or officially retires, the 'Stays with Golden State or Retires' outcome resolves to Yes. Only one outcome can resolve affirmatively, determined by Green's actual team status at the time of resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Draymond Green next team market tracks the current odds for each potential team, along with a price history showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $33, and the total volume traded to date, reaching $349,128. The dashboard provides a clear visualization of where traders are placing their bets and how sentiment is shifting regarding where Draymond Green will play next. It's a central hub for monitoring activity in this market.

Generally, prediction markets like this one often reflect information not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team performance and expert analysis, this market incorporates a wider range of factors as traders buy and sell contracts, effectively 'crowdsourcing' a probability assessment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, risk tolerance among bettors, and the incentive structure of each venue. It’s common to see this market adjust more rapidly to breaking news or subtle shifts in player dynamics than sportsbook odds do.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders for contracts representing each possible outcome—in this case, Draymond Green joining a specific team. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently reflects the collective wisdom of its participants.

This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team Draymond Green officially signs with as a player, as reported by major sports news outlets. The team he is officially on the roster for at the start of the 2024-2025 NBA season will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any trades or changes after that point will not affect the resolution.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding Draymond Green’s contract negotiations with his current team, or reports of interest from other franchises, would likely cause price fluctuations. Major player trades involving teams potentially interested in Green could also shift the odds. Additionally, injuries to key players on contending teams, or changes in coaching staff, might influence his decision and, consequently, the market. Finally, public statements from Green himself or team executives could provide valuable clues and move the market accordingly.