TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:20h:35m
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This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Drake and Kansas, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026. The markets ask who will win the game, with potential for a 50-50 resolution if the game is canceled or doesn't start by a specified deadline.
In the upcoming CWBB game between Drake Bulldogs and Kansas Jayhawks, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The event resolves based on the official winner of the women's college basketball game between Drake and Kansas, scheduled for November 6, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. The implied probability from this market may differ from the implied probability of a sportsbook's spread or moneyline, offering a valuable comparison point for informed bettors. It’s important to consider both sources when evaluating the potential outcome.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Drake vs. Kansas game can arise due to several factors. Differences in trader demographics, liquidity, and market-making activity on each platform contribute to varying price discovery processes. Polymarket may attract a different class of traders with unique information or risk preferences compared to Kalshi. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform—currently $145 overall—impacts price stability and responsiveness to new information. These factors mean that even though both platforms address the same question, their pricing can diverge until the event outcome is known.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Drake vs. Kansas game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The outcome will be based on official game results as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding game, could also shift expectations. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors that might affect the game's conditions could also play a role in how this market evolves. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential price fluctuations.