TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:55 AM EST
Kalshi
In a Rainbow Six Siege tournament, Dplus and CAG by VARREL will compete. The market outcome is determined by which team wins the second map of their scheduled match.
The market resolves based on the winner of map 2 in the specified Rainbow Six Siege match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of the participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially incorporating information not fully captured by sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding this event. Analyzing these differences can offer insights into market perceptions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Dplus vs. CAG Map 2 match. The market depth and order flow are visible on the dashboard, allowing traders to understand the supply and demand for each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 2 in the Dplus vs. CAG series as reported by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The exact timing of resolution may vary slightly depending on the speed of official result reporting.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team rosters, player form, strategic changes, or in-game performance during other matches in the series could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about map bans or changes to the game itself could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in broader esports betting sentiment could cause noticeable price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market up until it resolves.