TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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DP World Tour: Open de Espana Top 5
kalshi
polymarket

Who will finish in the top 5?

Volume:
$10,234

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 2:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,345
N/A
N/A
$1,746
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jacob Skov Olesen

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,097
N/A
N/A
$1,097
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jacob Skov Olesen

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Victor Perez

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$736
N/A
N/A
$736
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Victor Perez

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joe Dean

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$731
N/A
N/A
$731
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Joseph Dean

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Grant Forrest

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$730
N/A
N/A
$730
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Grant Forrest

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Daniel Brown

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$730
N/A
N/A
$730
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Daniel Brown

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ludvig Aberg

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$785
N/A
N/A
$785
Settled
No
kalshi

Angel Hidalgo

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$744
N/A
N/A
$744
Settled
No
polymarket

Angel Hidalgo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dan Bradbury

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$379
N/A
N/A
$379
Settled
No
polymarket

Daniel Bradbury

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Thriston Lawrence

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$305
N/A
N/A
$305
Settled
No
polymarket

Thriston Lawrence

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Shane Lowry

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$214
N/A
N/A
$214
Settled
No
polymarket

Shane Lowry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Thomas Rosenmueller

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$211
N/A
N/A
$211
Settled
No
polymarket

Thomas Rosenmueller

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Martin Couvra

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$204
N/A
N/A
$204
Settled
No
polymarket

Martin Couvra

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 267

Description

This group forecasts which golfers will finish in the top 5 at the 2026 Open de Espana tournament. Markets are created for individual players, and resolve to 'Yes' if the player achieves a top 5 finish (including ties) at the tournament's conclusion.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The player lists differ significantly between Polymarket and Kalshi, impacting the available markets and potential outcomes.Hero tip: Prioritize trading on players listed on both platforms to minimize the risk of discrepancies. Consider the broader scope of Polymarket when assessing probabilities.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers markets on 137 individual players. Resolves 'Yes' if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 Open de Espana, including ties. Resolves to 'No' if final results are not announced by October 18, 2026. Source: DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
  • Kalshi: Offers markets on 78 individual players. Resolves 'Yes' if the listed player finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Open de España presented by Madrid. Source: DP World Tour results.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 Open de Espana tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by October 18, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).

Kalshi

Each market evaluates whether a specified golfer finishes in the top five positions (including ties) at the 2026 Open de España presented by Madrid. If the golfer achieves this outcome, the market resolves to "Yes"; otherwise, it resolves to "No". If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate, the resolution depends on the timing: if before teeing off, the market resolves to the "Fair Market Price"; if after teeing off, it resolves to "No". These rules apply uniformly across all individual golfer markets, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each participant's performance in the tournament.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts from multiple prediction markets, currently Polymarket and Kalshi, regarding the top 5 finishers in the Open de Espana tournament. It displays a consensus view of probabilities, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on these platforms. Currently, the total volume across these markets is $10,234, with $6,202 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard allows you to compare how different platforms are pricing the same outcomes for this event, offering a comprehensive look at expectations for the tournament's leading players.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the distinct incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, while prediction market traders are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the likelihood of an event. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when there is significant public information available. For this market, you may find that the implied probabilities from Polymarket and Kalshi diverge from those offered by major sportsbooks, potentially reflecting differing levels of expertise or access to information among traders and bookmakers.