TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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DP World Tour: Open de Espana Top 10
kalshi
polymarket

Who will finish in the DP World Tour Top 10?

Volume:
$7,163

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 2:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,056
N/A
N/A
$991
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ludvig Aberg

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$876
N/A
N/A
$862
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joe Dean

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$572
N/A
N/A
$572
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Joseph Dean

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jacob Skov Olesen

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$278
N/A
N/A
$273
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jacob Skov Olesen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oliver Lindell

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$214
N/A
N/A
$214
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Oliver Lindell

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Daniel Brown

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$209
N/A
N/A
$209
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Daniel Brown

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Grant Forrest

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$208
N/A
N/A
$208
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Grant Forrest

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joel Girrbach

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
$205
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Joel Girrbach

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Adrian Otaegui

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
$205
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Adrian Otaegui

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Victor Perez

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$205
N/A
N/A
$205
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Victor Perez

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Joakim Lagergren

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,588
N/A
N/A
$1,178
Settled
No
polymarket

Joakim Lagergren

View
0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Angel Hidalgo

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$306
N/A
N/A
$306
Settled
No
polymarket

Angel Hidalgo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Thomas Detry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$237
N/A
N/A
$237
Settled
No
polymarket

Thomas Detry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 267

Description

This group forecasts which golfers will finish in the top 10 at the 2026 Open de Espana tournament. Markets are created for individual players, and resolve to 'Yes' if the player achieves a top-10 finish (including ties), and 'No' otherwise. Resolution relies on official results from the DP World Tour.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers markets on a significantly larger number of golfers than Kalshi, creating a scope divergence.Hero tip: Focus on players listed on both platforms to minimize resolution risk. Consider liquidity differences when choosing which markets to trade.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers markets on 137 golfers. Resolves 'Yes' if the listed player finishes in the top 10 (including ties) at the 2026 Open de Espana. Resolution source is the official DP World Tour website.
  • Kalshi: Offers markets on 77 golfers. Resolves 'Yes' if the listed player finishes in the top 10 (including ties) at the 2026 Open de España presented by Madrid. Resolution source is the official DP World Tour website.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 10 at the 2026 Open de Espana tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by October 18, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).

Kalshi

The market resolves to "Yes" if the specified golfer finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Open de España presented by Madrid. If the golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate, the market resolves to "Fair Market Price" if this occurs before teeing off, and to "No" if it occurs after teeing off. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each participant.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts from multiple prediction markets, specifically Polymarket and Kalshi, regarding the top 10 finishers in the Open de Espana tournament. It displays a consensus view of probabilities for various golfers to achieve a top-10 finish, combining volume of $7,163 and 24-hour volume of $4,100 across these platforms. This allows users to see where the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ currently stands on potential outcomes, offering a broader perspective than any single market provides. The dashboard aims to provide a comprehensive overview of expectations for the Open de Espana.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market traders are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate aggregate assessment of probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds often incorporate factors like public perception and team/player biases that may not be as prevalent in prediction markets. This market provides an alternative data point for informed decision-making.