TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 3:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 India Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 India Championship is cancelled, postponed after November 1, 2026 at 10:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 India Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 India Championship is cancelled, postponed after November 1, 2026 at 10:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a particular golfer being the first round leader. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the field. The market’s depth, indicated by the volume, shows how readily traders can enter and exit positions, influencing price discovery. This dynamic process aims to create a highly liquid and informative market.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the first round of the DP World Tour: India Championship, specifically identifying the golfer with the lowest score after the first 18 holes. The official leaderboard will serve as the primary source for determining the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their holdings in the shares of the winning golfer.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding golfer form, such as injury reports or strong performances in preceding events, could shift the odds. Weather conditions at the tournament location are also crucial, as they can favor certain playing styles. Unexpected withdrawals of key players would also cause substantial movement. Finally, live leaderboard updates during the first round itself will likely trigger rapid price adjustments as traders react to the unfolding competition and reassess probabilities.