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DP World Tour: Genesis Championship First Round Leader
polymarket

Who will lead the DP World Tour Genesis Championship Round 1?

Volume:
$5

Casey Jarvis

 - Polymarket

Casey Jarvis - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 25, 2026

Closed: Oct 22, 9:59 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Casey Jarvis

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Adrian Otaegui

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Albin Bergstroem

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alejandro Del Rey

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Andreas Halvorsen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Angel Ayora

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Angel Hidalgo

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Antoine Rozner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ashun Wu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ben Schmidt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brandon Kewalramani

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brandon Robinson-Thompson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cameron Adam

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chan Choi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chan-Min Jung

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Chan-Woo Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dai-Han Lee

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Daniel Bradbury

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Daniel Hillier

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Daniel Rodrigues

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Daniel Young

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Darius van Driel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

David Law

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

David Micheluzzi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

David Ravetto

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 121

Description

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Genesis Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Genesis Championship is cancelled, postponed after November 8, 2026 at 10:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Genesis Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Genesis Championship is cancelled, postponed after November 8, 2026 at 10:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Genesis Championship first round tracks the current odds for each golfer to be the first round leader, along with the trading volume and price history. You can see how the implied probabilities have shifted over time and view the 24-hour volume to gauge recent market activity. Currently, the total volume for this market is $5, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time view of how PredictionHero users are assessing each player's chances before the tournament begins.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to different probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing perspectives on a golfer’s form. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to news and adjust odds more efficiently than sportsbooks, especially in the hours leading up to the event.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each golfer being the first round leader. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy shares in a particular golfer, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information from a diverse group of participants, creating a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism for the Genesis Championship first round.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the golfer who posts the lowest score after the first round of the Genesis Championship will be declared the winner of this market. The official leaderboard from the DP World Tour will serve as the primary source for determining the first-round leader, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor the tournament progress to understand how the market is likely to settle.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before the first round concludes. Any news regarding a golfer’s health, a late withdrawal, or changes in weather conditions could cause substantial shifts in the odds. Strong performances in practice rounds or pre-tournament interviews expressing confidence could also move the market. Unexpected course conditions or pairings could also play a role. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for making informed trading decisions in this market.