TOTAL VOLUME:

$139.1b

24H VOL:

$140,881,811

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2,525,689,812

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,593,041,412

479,659

Markets across

37,354

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,909

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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DP World Tour: British Masters Third Round Leader
kalshi
polymarket

DP World Tour: British Masters Third Round Leader

Volume:
$91,261,431

Scottie Scheffler

 - Kalshi

Scottie Scheffler - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 5:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Scottie Scheffler

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,407,970
N/A
N/A
$6,484,253
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Viktor Hovland

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,448,806
N/A
N/A
$3,176,754
Settled
No
kalshi

Rory McIlroy

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,499,546
N/A
N/A
$3,579,836
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Gotterup

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,166,157
N/A
N/A
$3,449,956
Settled
No
kalshi

Cameron Young

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,148,683
N/A
N/A
$3,674,739
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam Burns

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,622,754
N/A
N/A
$3,603,530
Settled
No
kalshi

Wyndham Clark

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,676,963
N/A
N/A
$3,201,722
Settled
No
kalshi

Adam Scott

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,471,908
N/A
N/A
$2,405,259
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Fox

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,419,709
N/A
N/A
$2,681,247
Settled
No
kalshi

Akshay Bhatia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,073,311
N/A
N/A
$2,626,816
Settled
No
kalshi

Min Woo Lee

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,893,542
N/A
N/A
$1,696,378
Settled
No
kalshi

Russell Henley

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,880,787
N/A
N/A
$2,270,467
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Gerard

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,880,584
N/A
N/A
$1,632,494
Settled
No
kalshi

Collin Morikawa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,851,301
N/A
N/A
$2,312,798
Settled
No
kalshi

Ludvig Åberg

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,650,067
N/A
N/A
$1,992,818
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacob Bridgeman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,467,877
N/A
N/A
$2,055,541
Settled
No
kalshi

Gary Woodland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,280,301
N/A
N/A
$1,966,999
Settled
No
kalshi

Patrick Cantlay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,037,857
N/A
N/A
$1,404,780
Settled
No
kalshi

Justin Rose

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,966,489
N/A
N/A
$1,628,395
Settled
No
kalshi

Tom Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,874,946
N/A
N/A
$1,664,171
Settled
No
kalshi

Si Woo Kim

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,749,940
N/A
N/A
$1,476,241
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Fitzpatrick

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,743,290
N/A
N/A
$1,632,702
Settled
No
kalshi

Tommy Fleetwood

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,635,912
N/A
N/A
$1,136,679
Settled
No
kalshi

Matt Fitzpatrick

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,444,223
N/A
N/A
$1,162,827
Settled
No
kalshi

Xander Schauffele

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,427,876
N/A
N/A
$1,048,254
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 151

Intro

This market tracks whether Scottie Scheffler will win the TOUR Championship, with an aggregated consensus probability of 99.9% for him to win, and 0.1% for Viktor Hovland. The platforms aggregated are Kalshi and Polymarket, and the resolution source specifies that if Ludvig Åberg wins the tournament, the market resolves to Yes. Watch for the tournament conclusion on August 30, 2026, which will determine the final outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental scope mismatch: Kalshi resolves based on TOUR Championship winner from a fixed list, while Polymarket resolves based on British Masters third round leader with specific tie-breakersHero tip: Do not treat these markets as equivalent. Kalshi resolves to a TOUR Championship winner outcome, while Polymarket resolves to a British Masters third round leader outcome. Trade each market based on its specific resolution criteria

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Market resolves if any of 30 named players wins the TOUR Championship - fundamentally different event from the British Masters. Key quote: "If Akshay Bhatia wins the TOUR Championship, then the market resolves to Yes"
  • Polymarket: Market resolves based on the player with lowest cumulative score to par after Round 3 of the 2026 British Masters, with extensive tie-breaking rules. Key quote: "This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 British Masters with the lowest cumulative score to par"
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 British Masters with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 British Masters is cancelled, postponed after September 13, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.

Kalshi

Contracts resolve to Yes only if the specified golfer wins the TOUR Championship. If any golfer listed under the markets forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate before teeing off, all Tournament Winner and End of Round Leader markets for that golfer resolve to No, while Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball markets resolve to Fair Market Value. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the PGA or the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, the British Masters third-round leader market dashboard tracks aggregated trader sentiment and liquidity across platforms. It shows the current probability of each golfer leading after the third round, along with total volume of $91,261,431. This real-time view lets participants compare how prediction markets price the likelihood of different leaders emerging on the final day.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform attracts distinct trader bases and has unique liquidity conditions. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one venue might see heavier betting on certain golfers due to regional interest or recent performance narratives. These differences in participation and information flow often create temporary mispricings between the two markets.

Key signals that could shift probabilities in this market include real-time leaderboard updates during second-round play, weather delays affecting scoring conditions, and notable performances by top contenders. Any sudden change in form or momentum from players approaching the top spots may cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust their expectations for who will lead after day three.