TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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DP World Tour: Alfred Dunhill Links Championship Winner
polymarket

Who will win DP World Tour: Alfred Dunhill Links Championship?

Volume:
$1,641

Adrian Meronk

 - Polymarket

Adrian Meronk - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 3:12 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Adrian Meronk

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Casey Jarvis

0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jacob Skov Olesen

0%
88%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$180
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jose Luis Ballester

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ivan Cantero

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Daniel Cronje

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Benjamin Follett-Smith

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Charles Porter

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Connor McKinney

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Daniel Gavins

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Dylan Naidoo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Frankie Capan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Frederico Biondi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Herman Loubser

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jack Senior

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

James Marchesani

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jay MacKenzie

0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jazz Janewattananond

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jeong-Weon Ko

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jorge Campillo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Adria Arnaus

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Adrien Saddier

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Albin Bergstroem

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alejandro Del Rey

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alex Fitzpatrick

0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 121

Description

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship tracks the current odds for each golfer to win, along with a price history showing how those odds have changed over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, indicating how much activity there has been in this market recently. Currently, the total volume is $1,641 with $1,335 traded in the last day. This provides a dynamic view of how traders are assessing the probabilities of different players winning the tournament.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on all sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as player form, course conditions, and weather forecasts – the odds on Polymarket may converge or diverge from sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities closer to the event date, especially when compared to initial public perception.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each golfer’s chance of winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that golfer winning the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that if many traders believe a particular golfer has a high chance of winning, the price of their shares will increase, and vice versa. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news and updates.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship is verifiable from credible public reporting. The golfer who wins the tournament will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the DP World Tour. Any potential ties will be resolved according to the official tournament rules, and that outcome will be reflected in the market’s settlement.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form during practice rounds, or adjustments to the tournament schedule could cause shifts in the odds. Weather forecasts are also crucial, as conditions at the Old Course, Kingsbarns, and Carnoustie can heavily influence scoring. Unexpected withdrawals of key players or strong performances in preceding events would also likely move this market. Finally, any significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could indicate a shift in sentiment and influence the prices.