TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by DP World Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by October 11, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the DP World Tour website (https://www.europeantour.com/).
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on all sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as player form, course conditions, and weather forecasts – the odds on Polymarket may converge or diverge from sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities closer to the event date, especially when compared to initial public perception.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each golfer’s chance of winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that golfer winning the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that if many traders believe a particular golfer has a high chance of winning, the price of their shares will increase, and vice versa. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news and updates.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship is verifiable from credible public reporting. The golfer who wins the tournament will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the DP World Tour. Any potential ties will be resolved according to the official tournament rules, and that outcome will be reflected in the market’s settlement.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in form during practice rounds, or adjustments to the tournament schedule could cause shifts in the odds. Weather forecasts are also crucial, as conditions at the Old Course, Kingsbarns, and Carnoustie can heavily influence scoring. Unexpected withdrawals of key players or strong performances in preceding events would also likely move this market. Finally, any significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could indicate a shift in sentiment and influence the prices.