TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:56 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship is cancelled, postponed after October 18, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 3 of the main tournament at the 2026 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 3. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship is cancelled, postponed after October 18, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 3 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and developments, potentially exceeding the speed of sportsbook adjustments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each golfer being the third-round leader. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular golfer, the price increases, indicating growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic process ensures that the market price constantly adapts to new information and collective sentiment regarding the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which golfer holds the lead after the completion of the third round of the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship. Official tournament results will be used to determine the winner, and the market will settle to 100% for the correct golfer. The platform will verify the results against publicly available data to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. A golfer’s performance in the first two rounds of the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship will be a major driver, with strong showings likely to increase their share price. Weather conditions, particularly wind and rain, could also impact player scores and shift market sentiment. Unexpected injuries or withdrawals of key contenders would undoubtedly cause substantial price movements. Finally, any news regarding a golfer’s form or health could also affect trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.