TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 9:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether any player on either Team Yandex or LGD Gaming will achieve an Ultra Kill – 5 or more kills without dying – in a potential Game 3 of their best-of-three series during the BLAST Slam Playoffs. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to this outcome. Resolution will be based on data from https://www.dotabuff.com. Keep an eye on the initial match schedule for October 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, as the possibility of a Game 3 depends on the results of the first two games in the series.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between Team Yandex and LGD Gaming in the BLAST Slam Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Team Yandex. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective that differs from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may set initial lines based on team rankings and expert opinions, but they can also be influenced by factors like public betting biases or promotional offers. This market, driven by informed traders, can offer a different perspective on the potential outcome of the Team Yandex versus LGD Gaming match. Discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can present opportunities for arbitrage or indicate differing levels of confidence in a particular result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Dota 2 BLAST Slam Playoffs match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution for each potential result. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of the likelihood of Team Yandex or LGD Gaming winning the BO3 series.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official outcome of the Dota 2 BLAST Slam Playoffs BO3 match between Team Yandex and LGD Gaming, as reported by the tournament organizers. The winning team, as declared by the official tournament results, will dictate the settlement of this market. Any potential disputes or challenges to the official results will be evaluated based on publicly available information and rulings from the tournament administration.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market leading up to Oct 8, 2026. Unexpected news regarding player form, potential roster changes for either Team Yandex or LGD Gaming, or even strategic shifts revealed during pre-match analysis could all impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other BLAST Slam Playoffs matches, or any information suggesting a team is underperforming in practice, could also cause significant movement. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths will likely be reflected in the price of shares in this market.