TOTAL VOLUME:

$115.8b

24H VOL:

$60,644,276

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,341,650,213

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,108,015,025

310,788

Markets across

30,100

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,275

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks whether First Blood will occur in Game 1 of the Dota 2 match between Team Yandex and HULIGANI during The International Group Stage. The aggregated consensus probability for First Blood happening in Game 1 is currently 100.0%, drawn from Polymarket, Predict, Limitless, and Kalshi, with resolution based on dotabuff.com. Watch for the match on August 13, 2026, as this will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms use dotabuff.com as the primary resolution source with credible reporting as a backup, and consistently handle cancellations, uncompleted matches, and indeterminate results with 50-50 resolutions.Primary resolution logic: https://www.dotabuff.com

Core resolution logic:

  • Match and game outcomes resolve based on official results from dotabuff.com
  • If dotabuff.com lacks data within 2 hours post-event, credible reporting including video evidence is acceptable
  • Cancellations, uncompleted matches, or indeterminate results after 7 days resolve to 50-50
  • Recognizable team name variations (abbreviations, sponsor tags, etc.) are treated as the same team when clearly identifiable

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Remade Games: Resolution is based on the remade game if a game is replayed
  • Forfeit/Disqualification: Matches ending in forfeit, disqualification, or walkover resolve to 50-50 unless one team wins due to opponent's forfeiture after the match begins
Timing: Resolution occurs after official results are published on dotabuff.com, or within 2 hours of the event using credible reporting if dotabuff.com is unavailableOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Yandex and HULIGANI in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against HULIGANI. This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win the match against Team Yandex. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

If HULIGANI wins The International 2026: HULIGANI vs. Team Yandex Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Team Yandex wins The International 2026: HULIGANI vs. Team Yandex Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Team Yandex and HULIGANI in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against HULIGANI. This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win the match against Team Yandex. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Limitless

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Yandex and HULIGANI in the The International 2026, initially scheduled for August 13, 2026 UTC. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against HULIGANI. This market will resolve to "HULIGANI" if HULIGANI win the match against Team Yandex. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, or the team is renamed or rebranded, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.