TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 10:29 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the likelihood of any player achieving an Ultra Kill in Game 3 of the best-of-three Dota 2 match between OG and Yellow Submarine during the EPL Masters Playoffs. Currently, the consensus probability across Predict, Kalshi, and Polymarket is 100.0% that an Ultra Kill will occur, with resolution determined by data from dotabuff.com. This prediction group also covers other aspects of the match, including the overall winner and in-game events. Keep an eye on the start of Game 3 on November 2, 2026, to see if a player can reach 10 or more kills without dying.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinals match between OG and Yellow Submarine in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win the match against Yellow Submarine. This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win the match against OG. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 2, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
The market resolves based on the result of the EPL Masters 2026 Dota 2 match between Yellow Submarine and OG, scheduled for November 2, 2026, at 8:00 AM EST. If either team wins the match, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the match is postponed and does not commence within 48 hours of its original start time, is cancelled before play begins, or is forfeited prior to any gameplay, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If the match starts but is later forfeited, the outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinals match between OG and Yellow Submarine in the EPL Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win the match against Yellow Submarine. This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win the match against OG. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 2, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the varying incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks primarily aim to balance their books and profit from margins, while prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting through rewards for correct predictions. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more nuanced understanding of the event's probability, especially as new information emerges. For this market, comparing the implied probabilities from both platforms to those offered by sportsbooks can reveal discrepancies and potential value for informed traders.