TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Bundesliga soccer match between Dortmund and Frankfurt, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for goal differences to determine the result. The match must conclude within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time to be valid.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Dortmund vs Frankfurt Bundesliga match scheduled for October 24, 2026, each defined by a specific goal differential threshold. If Dortmund wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, the corresponding markets resolve to Yes. Similarly, if Frankfurt wins by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals, their respective markets resolve to Yes. All resolutions depend solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from consideration. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that prediction market traders possess information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook pricing. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Dortmund vs Frankfurt match, as determined by official match results. This means the difference in goals scored by Dortmund and Frankfurt will be used to determine which contracts payout. The market will then settle accordingly, distributing funds to those who correctly predicted the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Dortmund or Frankfurt would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching changes in the days leading up to the match could also shift the probabilities reflected in the market. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi could also cause price fluctuations.