TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Dortmund and Bremen. Bettors can speculate on whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed various thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Dortmund vs Bremen DFB Pokal match scheduled for October 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific numerical threshold of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals scored by both teams must exceed the respective threshold within the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are explicitly excluded from all calculations. All markets share the same underlying match and time parameters, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The resolution of each market is independent, allowing for varied outcomes depending on the final goal count relative to each threshold.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook odds. It’s worth comparing to see where your edge might lie.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome occurring. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it, constantly refining the probability assessment of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the Dortmund vs Bremen match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the match, as officially recorded, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Dortmund or Bremen would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match analysis from reputable football experts could also impact trading activity and the overall price of contracts within this market.