TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in a national cup competition. The result is determined solely by the score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The market accounts for potential game disruptions, ensuring fair resolution if necessary.
The event resolves based on the result of the Dortmund vs Bremen professional DFB Pokal soccer match originally scheduled for October 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Dortmund, a win for Bremen, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the respective market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the platform's rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. Often, you’ll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when a large amount of volume is traded. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information or biases. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise when forming your own opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there's always a bid and ask price available, allowing traders to enter and exit positions easily. The market’s efficiency is driven by the collective actions of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dortmund vs Bremen match, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contract and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Dortmund or Bremen would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, weather conditions on the day of the match, and even tactical announcements from the managers, could influence the perceived probabilities. Unexpected events during the match itself, like early red cards, could also cause rapid price adjustments in this market.