TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:23 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional soccer game in the Eerste Divisie features two competing teams. The match's outcome is decided by which team claims victory within the normal playing time.
The market resolves based on the result of the Dordrecht vs Venlo Eerste Divisie soccer match scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Dordrecht wins, the 'Dordrecht' market resolves to Yes; if Venlo wins, the 'Venlo' market resolves to Yes; if the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours later, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the odds can provide valuable insights into public perception and potential value bets, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as seen by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the volume of buy and sell orders at various price points, indicates the strength of conviction behind each outcome. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the event's outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Dordrecht vs Venlo match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor the event's progress leading up to the resolution date.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can cause price movements. Monitoring news sources, sports analysts’ predictions, and the trading volume on the platform will provide insights into potential catalysts for market movement.