TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:01 PM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams play a match where the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time determines the winner, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The outcome is decided exclusively by which team scores more goals during regular time, with ties leading to a distinct resolution.
Markets resolve based on the official result of the Dorados vs Piratas Veracruz professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer game scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). If Dorados wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Piratas Veracruz wins, its market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original time, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own beliefs, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional sources. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different interpretation of the event's likelihood. It’s valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded perspective.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the price, creating a dynamic and responsive system. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dorados vs Piratas Veracruz match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Additionally, shifts in public sentiment, fueled by media coverage or expert analysis, can drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Even weather conditions or reports of team morale could play a role. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.