TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The result hinges on the winning team and the size of its lead in a contest between the Doosan Bears and Samsung Lions. Different thresholds for victory magnitude apply to each potential winner.
Resolution depends entirely on which team wins and the margin of victory in the designated game. Should the Samsung Lions win by more than 2.5 runs, both the first and second markets resolve to Yes; a win by more than 1.5 runs resolves only the second market to Yes. If the Doosan Bears win by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes, and by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Kalshi disclaims any official connection to the league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives as traders buy and sell contracts. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between the two types of markets.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final score of the Doosan Bears versus Samsung Lions game, specifically determining whether the Samsung Lions won by more than 1.5 runs. The final result will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual game outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in the starting pitchers, or weather conditions impacting the game could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games by either the Doosan Bears or the Samsung Lions could also play a role. Additionally, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations, as traders react to and anticipate the actions of others in the market.