TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The final scheduled game of this series maintains consistent timing and rules across all four events. The market resolves based exclusively on which team emerges with more runs after nine innings, following the same contingency protocols for scheduling changes.
If Doosan Bears wins the Doosan Bears vs Samsung Lions Korea KBO game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Samsung Lions wins the Doosan Bears vs Samsung Lions Korea KBO game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of an outcome, the odds here can diverge. It’s common to see differences, especially as new information becomes available and market participants react to it. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely result of the Doosan Bears versus Samsung Lions game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people want to buy a contract, the price goes up, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly efficient and informative market.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Doosan Bears versus Samsung Lions game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which team won the game, and the corresponding contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will not. The exact timing of resolution may vary slightly depending on the availability of official results.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in the starting lineup for either the Doosan Bears or Samsung Lions, or weather forecasts impacting the game could all cause price fluctuations. Unexpected performance by key players during the game itself will also be a major driver. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a shift in sentiment. Monitoring these signals can help you understand how the market is reacting to evolving circumstances and potentially identify trading opportunities.