TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 8:17 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball game between the Doosan Bears and Lotte Giants. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed certain thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams in a single match.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both the Doosan Bears and Lotte Giants in their KBO game scheduled for October 6, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different run total threshold—specifically, whether the combined score exceeds 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. All markets resolve based on the actual runs scored during the game as scheduled. It is important to note that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by traders who are expressing their own beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to find value in either market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total runs scored will be over or under 5.5. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective expectation of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Doosan Bears versus Lotte Giants game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics will be used to determine whether the total runs exceed 5.5 or not. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Changes in the starting pitchers, weather forecasts impacting offensive potential, or even late-breaking news about key player injuries could all lead to shifts in the odds. Significant public betting patterns, or even expert analysis released closer to game time, could also move the market. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the total runs scored is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on opportunities.