TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 8:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball game between the Doosan Bears and LG Twins. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed certain thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams in a single match.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total runs scored by both the Doosan Bears and LG Twins in their KBO game scheduled for October 7, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different run total threshold—specifically, whether the combined score exceeds 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. If the actual total runs in the game meet or surpass any of these thresholds, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. The resolution hinges solely on the final score of the game as it occurs on the scheduled date and time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives not immediately captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade and express their view, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those found at sportsbooks. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information, differing interpretations of data, or simply the collective insight of traders participating in this market. It's common to see prediction markets offer a more nuanced assessment of probabilities as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total runs scored. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific total occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, with traders effectively betting against each other. This creates a real-time assessment of the likely total runs, driven by the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Doosan Bears versus LG Twins game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the total runs scored and thus the settlement of contracts on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total runs will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect totals will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Doosan Bears or the LG Twins would likely have an impact. Weather forecasts, particularly those predicting rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations about scoring. Furthermore, late-breaking reports on pitcher matchups or team strategies could influence traders' assessments. Even general sentiment and public discussion surrounding the game can contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders react to new information.