TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 4:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Doncaster and Stockport. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Doncaster vs Stockport EFL League One soccer match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootout scenarios. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total exceeds that threshold. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective rights holders.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a certain outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a value discrepancy for informed bettors. It’s common to see prediction markets as more accurate forecasts than traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if the corresponding outcome occurs at the end of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Doncaster vs Stockport match will be the determining factor. This includes any goals scored during regular play or added time, but excludes penalty shootouts. The final score will be sourced from official match data and used to determine which contracts payout. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Doncaster or Stockport would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups closer to kickoff, or even significant pre-match analysis from reputable football experts, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Public perception and betting trends observed elsewhere may also play a role.