TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 12:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an EFL League One soccer match between Doncaster and Sheffield Wednesday, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specified number of goals. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event encompasses four distinct outcome scenarios based on the goal differential between Doncaster and Sheffield Wednesday in their scheduled match on October 24, 2026. Each scenario specifies a different threshold for victory—either team winning by more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the applicable scenario if the stated condition is met after 90 minutes of regular play, including stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalties. All outcomes are evaluated independently, meaning each rule functions as a separate condition. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of individuals actively trading on the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for arbitrage or a disagreement about the likely result of the Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread of the Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday match. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectation of the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price movements. The current price represents the market's best estimate of the probability of a particular spread occurring, and is constantly updated as new information and opinions are incorporated.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the Doncaster vs Sheffield Wednesday match, as determined by official sources, will be used to determine the winning contracts. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official results following the match to understand how this market will settle, and to confirm the final spread that will be used for payout calculations.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could impact market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes leading up to the match are also likely to cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and shift the price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade this market effectively.