TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.1b
24H VOL:
$337,672,170
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,014,360,784
421,272
Markets across
40,138
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,437
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Copa del Rey soccer match between Don Benito and Extremadura, focusing solely on the result after regulation time. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding any potential extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends entirely on the match's final score at the end of regulation play.
The markets collectively determine the winner of the Don Benito vs Extremadura professional Copa del Rey soccer game scheduled for October 27, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time—excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Don Benito secures a victory within regulation time, the 'Don Benito' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Extremadura achieves a win within the same timeframe, the 'Extremadura' market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie at the end of regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. These rules ensure that outcomes are strictly based on regulation-time results, with clear provisions for tie scenarios and unusual scheduling changes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes anticipate outcomes that diverge from initial sportsbook assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of Don Benito winning the regulation time moneyline. As more people buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of that outcome. Conversely, selling 'yes' contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the current consensus among traders, and the market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing opinions. The platform facilitates this price discovery process, allowing traders to express their views and profit from accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Don Benito vs Extremadura match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team wins the regulation time of the match – any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The platform will verify the final score against official sources to determine whether Don Benito secured a regulation time victory, triggering the payout for those who predicted that outcome in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Don Benito or Extremadura would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of wins or losses, could also shift the market's perception. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical announcements from either manager, could introduce new information that traders react to. Overall team morale and any pre-match controversies are also potential catalysts for price movement in this market.