TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.9b

24H VOL:

$277,664,645

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,114,870

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,379,707,856

581,715

Markets across

14,439

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,118

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
polymarket
kalshi
Trending
Crypto

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 5PM ET? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$1,013
PredictionHero
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 5PM ET 100%
polymarket
Dogecoin price on Apr 25, 2026? 100%
kalshi
Dogecoin price on Apr 25, 2026? 100%
kalshi
Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Jun…020406080100

Closed: Apr 25, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Two distinct data sources (CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index vs. Binance DOGE/USDT spot price) and two distinct resolution methodologies (threshold-based index levels vs. candle open/close comparison) create settlement value mismatch and basis risk across platforms.

Hero Tip:

Confirm your broker's settlement oracle before trade execution. If you are arbitraging across Kalshi and Polymarket, monitor both CF Benchmarks and Binance price feeds in real-time on April 25 at 5 PM ET. A 1-2% divergence between the two sources is plausible and would create a profitable arbitrage or a loss depending on your position direction.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Kalshi:

    37 separate binary markets, each resolving Yes if the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks DOGEUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT exceeds a specific threshold (ranging from 0.0049999 to 0.1849999 USD). No explicit No resolution condition stated; implies No if all thresholds are not exceeded. Settlement source: CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index (DOGEUSD_RTI).

  • Polymarket:

    Single binary market resolving to Up if Binance DOGE/USDT 1H candle close price >= open price, otherwise Down. The 1H candle begins at 5 PM ET on April 25. Settlement source: Binance DOGE/USDT pair only, no alternative exchanges.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.