TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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District of Columbia Firebirds vs. Norfolk State Spartans (W)
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of District of Columbia Firebirds vs. Norfolk State Spartans?

Total volume:
$4,981
Volume 24h:
$230N/A
Liquidity:
$11
4,639%
Open interest:
$3,649
0%

Norfolk St.

 - Kalshi

Norfolk St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 02d:02h:15m

Norfolk St. wins

95%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 95% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 240% 2 days to resolution
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Norfolk St.

Trade
95%
4%
Yes 99¢No 12¢
11¢
N/A
$2,509
10%
N/A
$1,739
2d 2h 15m
Active
kalshi

District of Columbia

Trade
3%
Yes 10¢No 99¢
9¢
N/A
$2,472
0%
N/A
$1,910
2d 2h 15m
Active
polymarket

District of Columbia Firebirds vs. Norfolk State Spartans (W)

Trade
50%
Yes 98.8¢No 99¢
97.8¢
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 23h 15m
Active
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group concerns a women's college basketball game between the District of Columbia Firebirds and the Norfolk State Spartans, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026. The markets ask whether either team wins the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes a cancellation/no-result provision, while Kalshi does not, creating a divergence in potential outcomes.Hero tip: Account for the possibility of a 50-50 split on Polymarket if the game is delayed or canceled. Kalshi offers a simpler win/loss scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to Yes if either team wins, but resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled or doesn't start by November 6, 2026. Source: ncaa.com
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins. No mention of cancellation or no-result conditions. "If Norfolk St. wins...the market resolves to Yes. If District of Columbia wins...the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming CWBB game between District of Columbia Firebirds and Norfolk State Spartans, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the women's college basketball game between District of Columbia and Norfolk State scheduled for November 4, 2026. If Norfolk State wins the game, the Norfolk State market settles to Yes, and the District of Columbia market settles to No. Conversely, if District of Columbia wins, its market settles to Yes, and the Norfolk State market settles to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final outcome. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, both markets settle at a fair price. Kalshi emphasizes it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes in the Firebirds-Spartans game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $4,981, with $230 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates considerable interest in forecasting the result of this women's basketball contest. The dashboard provides a consensus view, though individual platforms may show differing probabilities based on trader sentiment. Polymarket currently favors District of Columbia Firebirds vs. Norfolk State Spartans (W) at 49.9%, while Kalshi leans toward Norfolk St. wins at 95.0%.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters. This can lead to probabilities that differ from traditional sportsbooks, which may be influenced by factors like public betting biases or house advantages. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis. The difference between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can sometimes signal opportunities for arbitrage, though transaction costs and market liquidity should be considered.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Firebirds-Spartans game can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and fee structure, which can influence price discovery. Differences in market design, such as the types of orders allowed or the availability of leverage, can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, differing levels of information and analysis among traders on each platform can lead to varying assessments of the likely outcome. The volume traded on each platform also plays a role, with higher volume generally leading to more efficient price discovery.

This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the District of Columbia Firebirds versus Norfolk State Spartans (W) game will be used to determine the winning outcome. Resolution will be based on official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or significant performance shifts could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also move the market. Furthermore, broader trends in women's college basketball, or even shifts in public perception of either team, might lead to adjustments in probabilities. Major upsets in other games involving these teams could also indirectly affect this market, as traders reassess their overall evaluations.