TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 6:25 AM EST
Kalshi
In an intense Dota 2 match, Direborn faces Team Kinetix on the second map of their scheduled encounter. The outcome hinges on which team secures victory in this critical phase of competition, determining the immediate momentum and strategic advantage for both sides.
The market resolves based on the winner of map 2 in the specified Dota 2 match. If Direborn wins, the first market resolves to Yes; if Team Kinetix wins, the second market resolves to Yes. Postponements, cancellations, or forfeitures before play result in resolution at fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league or ownership of related trademarks.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own independent beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular result. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and perspectives. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe Direborn will win, the price of that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly accurate forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of map 2 in the Direborn vs. Team Kinetix match will determine the settlement of this market. The resolution will be based on the official results published by the tournament organizers. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team rosters, player performance, or strategic changes could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about map bans or player health could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, general sentiment shifts within the esports community, reflected in social media or analyst predictions, can impact trader behavior. Major upsets in other matches featuring these teams could also influence how traders assess their chances in the Direborn vs. Team Kinetix match.