TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 6:25 AM EST
Kalshi
The first map of the Direborn versus Team Kinetix Dota 2 match will test both teams' opening strategies and initial gameplay effectiveness. Winning this map can set a decisive tone for the rest of the match, influencing player confidence and tactical approaches.
The market resolves based on the winner of map 1 in the specified Dota 2 match. If Direborn wins, the first market resolves to Yes; if Team Kinetix wins, the second market resolves to Yes. Postponements, cancellations, or forfeitures before play result in resolution at fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league or ownership of related trademarks.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If there's a significant difference between the two, it could indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one is more sensitive to late-breaking news. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and the implied probability of that team winning rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of map 1 in the Direborn vs. Team Kinetix match will determine the settlement of this market. The result will be based on the official game results as reported by the tournament organizers and verified by reliable sources. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about player health or injuries would likely have a significant impact. In-game performance during other matches leading up to the event could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any major upsets or surprising results in related tournaments could cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to movement in this market.