TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Dinamo Zagreb and Anderlecht. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the match's offensive intensity. It reflects the competitive nature and scoring potential of the teams involved.
The event evaluates multiple outcome thresholds for total goals scored in the Dinamo Zagreb versus Anderlecht Europa League match scheduled for October 15, 2026. Each threshold—ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals—is assessed based on the combined number of goals scored by both teams after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If the actual goal count exceeds any specified threshold, the corresponding market resolves positively (Yes). All markets operate independently, meaning resolution for one threshold does not affect others. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and public perception, while this market allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the odds on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets converge towards the true probability as more information becomes available and trading volume increases.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The goal is for the contract prices to accurately represent the likelihood of each possible total goals result in the Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht match, as officially recorded by the governing football authorities, will determine the winning contract. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered; only goals scored during regular play count toward the final result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Dinamo Zagreb or Anderlecht would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if adverse conditions are expected, could also move the market. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches released by the managers could influence traders' expectations about the number of goals scored. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role.