TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 12:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in a recognized league. The resolution depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match as officially recorded by the league. Any changes to the game's schedule or cancellation will follow specific guidelines to determine how the market ultimately settles.
The event resolves based on the official result of the men’s professional basketball game between Dinamo Vladivostok and BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg, scheduled for October 21, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final, official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on Kalshi and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees a correct prediction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities as the event approaches. The current market reflects the aggregated opinions of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Vladivostok vs Uralmash basketball game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will determine the winning outcome based on the final score and official statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Game-day reports, such as starting lineups and pre-game analysis from sports analysts, can also cause shifts in the market. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-court issues could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters the assessment of each team's chances of winning has the potential to move this market.