TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:28 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 3 at 7:30PM ET: If the Devils win, the market will resolve to "Devils". If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 3 at 7:30PM ET: If the Devils win, the market will resolve to "Devils". If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds due to varying information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. It's common to observe that this market incorporates information and opinions not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks, leading to unique insights into the likely result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Devils-Islanders game. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market's efficiency depends on the volume of trading and the information available to participants, with increased volume generally leading to more accurate price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Devils-Islanders game, as reported by a recognized sports data source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in prior games, coaching decisions, or even public sentiment expressed on social media can also play a role. Major announcements related to either team, or even broader league news, could trigger significant movement in the market as traders reassess their predictions before the market resolves.