TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Devils vs. Canadiens
Description
On April 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, the New Jersey Devils will face the Montreal Canadiens in an NHL regular season game. Markets are offered across multiple platforms covering three distinct outcomes: (1) moneyline winner (Devils vs. Canadiens), (2) total goals scored (Over/Under at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 thresholds), and (3) margin of victory (win by >1.5 or >2.5 goals). All resolution determinations include overtime and shootout goals, with shootout victories counting as +1 goal for the winning team.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on the game date and the resolution scope. Kalshi references a game originally scheduled for April 4, 2026, and resolves on margin-of-victory thresholds (1.5+ or 2.5+ goals by either team). Polymarket references April 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, and offers multiple distinct markets: moneyline (winner only), over/under totals at various thresholds (3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and spread markets (Canadiens -1.5, Devils -1.5, Devils -2.5).Hero Tip:
The date discrepancy (April 4 vs. April 5) is a critical red flag. Verify the actual scheduled game date before trading. If the game is on April 4, Kalshi's margin markets may resolve before Polymarket's markets even open. Additionally, Kalshi's markets are binary (yes/no on margin thresholds), while Polymarket offers granular outcome choices (moneyline, spreads, totals). Hedging across both platforms requires careful attention to timing and outcome scope.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves on a binary margin-of-victory framework for a game originally scheduled for April 4, 2026. The market resolves YES if either team wins by over 1.5 goals OR over 2.5 goals, creating four separate yes/no conditions. Key quote: 'If New Jersey wins by over 1.5 goals in the Montreal at New Jersey professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket offers a suite of distinct markets for April 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, including moneyline (Devils vs. Canadiens winner), multiple over/under totals (3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 combined goals), and spread markets (Canadiens -1.5, Devils -1.5, Devils -2.5). Each market resolves independently to a specific outcome. Key quote: 'If the Devils win, the market will resolve to Devils. If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to Canadiens.'
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