TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 12:29 AM EST
Kalshi
Similar to the first, this event concerns the total goals in an NHL match between Detroit and Vancouver. Participants guess if the combined score will go over different benchmarks. The result hinges on the official game outcome, including special scenarios like overtime and shootouts.
Several markets determine if the combined goals scored by both teams surpass set thresholds. Goals in regulation and overtime are counted as usual, with shootouts contributing one goal to the winner. Postponements within 48 hours of the scheduled start keep markets active, resolving with the final result. Cancellations or games not starting within 48 hours lead to fair price resolutions across all markets.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, factoring in a ‘vig’ or commission. This market, however, is driven purely by individuals trading on their beliefs about the game's outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches, as they aggregate diverse perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to a dynamic pricing mechanism. The more traders believe a certain number of goals will be scored, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Detroit vs Vancouver game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. This provides a clear and objective determination of the market's result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Detroit or Vancouver teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's pace or scoring opportunities, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or tactical adjustments could prompt traders to reassess their positions. Even public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.