TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an NHL hockey game between Detroit and Montreal, focusing on which team secures a victory. The event considers potential scheduling changes, ensuring that outcomes are determined based on the actual game result if played within a short window of the original date. If the game does not occur within this window, the market resolves to a fair value instead of a definitive win or loss.
The market resolves based on the result of the NHL game between Detroit and Montreal scheduled for October 10, 2026. If Montreal wins, the Montreal market resolves to Yes, and the Detroit market resolves to No. Conversely, if Detroit wins, the Detroit market resolves to Yes, and the Montreal market resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original schedule, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game be cancelled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under exceptional circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis and insights. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from traditional sportsbook offerings, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s a fascinating comparison to observe.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the prices you see are a direct result of supply and demand from individuals trading their perspectives on the Detroit vs Montreal game, rather than being set by a central authority.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Detroit vs Montreal game as reported by a trusted sports data source. The specific details of the game's final score will be used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment and impact the odds. Unexpected announcements about team performance or key player availability would also likely cause movement. Furthermore, major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also lead to changes in the market price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 11, 2026.