TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 9:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Detroit Lions tight end Sam LaPorta will score one or more touchdowns in the Detroit vs Carolina professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Sam LaPorta scoring 1+ touchdowns. The market will resolve based on whether Tommy Tremble scores at least 2+ touchdowns in the Detroit vs Carolina Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on Tommy Tremble’s performance leading up to and including the game on October 4, 2026, as his touchdown count is the key determinant for resolution.
The event consists of multiple markets, each centered on whether designated players or defensive units score a specified number of touchdowns in the Detroit vs Carolina Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. For each market, if the named player or defensive unit scores the required number of touchdowns, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share consistent secondary rules: if a participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual touchdowns scored. These provisions ensure fair resolution even when players are active but do not participate in offensive plays.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many individual traders. These differing approaches can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to impactful news or shifts in sentiment than traditional sportsbooks, potentially offering a more real-time assessment of probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the number of touchdowns scored in the Detroit versus Carolina game. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, creating a dynamic pricing mechanism that reflects collective intelligence. The current volume of $7,641,609 shows the level of participation in determining these probabilities.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final touchdown count for the Detroit versus Carolina game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The exact number of touchdowns scored by both teams combined will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final result and their contract settlements shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence this market before the game's conclusion. Injury reports for key players on both the Detroit and Carolina teams are significant catalysts, as they directly impact offensive capabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if inclement weather is predicted, could also shift expectations regarding scoring potential. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also cause traders to reassess probabilities. Any significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could further contribute to movement in this market.