TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:45 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the offensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether each team achieves specific yardage thresholds. The outcomes depend solely on the total yards each team gains during the match, reflecting offensive efficiency and strategy.
The markets resolve based on whether Carolina or Detroit records specific total offensive yards (250+, 300+, 350+, 400+, or 450+) in their Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different yardage threshold for each team. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the markets resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, with each threshold representing a separate condition for resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to, or place greater weight on, different information. It’s worth comparing the implied probabilities to see where the market diverges from conventional wisdom.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage ranges. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it, offering a real-time assessment of the likely total yards for Detroit and Carolina.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total yardage for both the Detroit and Carolina game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage totals, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine which contracts settle at 100, and which settle at 0. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total yardage will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect ranges will not. The resolution process aims to be objective and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Detroit or Carolina would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a game heavily favoring the run or pass, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any updates on coaching strategies or offensive schemes could shift perceptions of each team’s potential yardage output. Even general public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.