TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully tackle the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether each team reaches certain thresholds of these tackles during the match.
The markets resolve based on the total number of sacks achieved by either Detroit or Carolina in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold (ranging from 2 to 6 sacks) for each team, with resolution set to 'Yes' if the team meets or exceeds its respective threshold. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks typically set odds to balance their risk and ensure a profit, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. It’s common to see this market move in response to news and information that hasn’t yet fully impacted sportsbook odds, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines tend to converge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total number of team sacks. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will be, and vice versa. This creates a market-driven forecast of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded by each team in the Detroit versus Carolina game will determine the settlement of contracts on Kalshi. It's important to note that the official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to establish the final result. Traders should monitor official sources for the most accurate and up-to-date information as the game progresses and the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key defensive players on either team would be a major catalyst, as a star pass rusher being sidelined would likely decrease the expected sack total. Weather conditions, particularly strong winds or heavy rain, could also influence the game and therefore the number of sacks. Late-breaking news about changes in offensive or defensive strategies could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' defensive capabilities could drive trading activity on Kalshi.