TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many field goals each team scores in an upcoming football game. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will reach specific scoring thresholds, offering a granular way to engage with the game's outcome beyond just the win/loss result.
All markets resolve based on the official number of field goals scored by each team in the Detroit vs Carolina Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team records the minimum number of field goals stated in the market title (e.g., '1+', '2+', etc.). If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring bettors are compensated fairly in case of significant scheduling disruptions.
Generally, prediction markets and sportsbook odds often reflect similar underlying probabilities, but discrepancies can emerge. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring profit regardless of the outcome, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant difference appears, it could signal that market participants possess information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines, or that differing opinions on team strengths are influencing the prediction market. It's important to note that this market represents the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes for the total field goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time view of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of field goals scored in the Detroit versus Carolina game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders who accurately predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution, while those who bet on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objectively verifiable data.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Detroit or Carolina teams, particularly the kicker or long snapper, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also affect the likelihood of successful field goal attempts. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team performance could shift trader sentiment and cause the market to react. Overall game analysis and expert predictions could also move this market.